The recent surge in coal prices has brought continuous impact to downstream power companies. The China Electric Power Association issued a report a few days ago that the contradiction between supply and demand for electric coal will enter the most prominent period in January next year. At a time when coal-fired power negotiations are about to begin in the new year, such a tense situation will complicate the negotiations in the coming year.
With a price increase of 40 yuan per ton, Shanxi coal companies first threw chips. On November 2nd, the Shanxi Provincial Coal Department issued a news request that all coal sales units throughout the province do a good job of signing the coal supply and sales contract for the entire province in 2011. This indicates that with Shanxi as the starting point, the nationwide coal production, transportation, and transportation need to be fully started in 2011.
Shanxi coal company plans to increase 8%
According to the summary report of the Shanxi Provincial Coal Bureau, the average contract price of the 5500 kcal standard coal in 2011 is expected to be 490 yuan/ton. “As far as price is concerned, the contract price has risen by RMB 40/t compared to last year.†On November 3, informed sources from the Shanxi Provincial Coal Authority confirmed this, and the price of 490 yuan/ton was the price of the car plate.
People in the industry believe that due to the fact that Shanxi coal accounts for nearly 3/4 of the country's total output over the years, Shanxi's coal pricing will directly affect the national coal trend in the next year to some extent.
The relevant person in charge of the Tongmei Coal Group stated that the price of the 5500 kcal Datong high-quality mixed-coal Qinhuangdao has reached 775 yuan/ton. After deducting about 120-150 yuan in freight, yard and shipping fees, the lowest price for the coal is At 625 yuan/ton, there is still a large spread compared with the contract price of 490 yuan. “The price of 40 yuan has increased by 8% compared with the contract price of last year, but it is still slightly lower than the expectations of the securities institutions."
BOCI International raised the forecast for domestic thermal coal benchmark prices in this and next two years by 9% and 14%, respectively; GF Securities believes that the increase in coal prices in 2011 is expected to be above 15%.
The analysis report of the China Investment Adviser believes that the contract price increase for Shanxi's final transaction is about 8%, and it is currently unclear. However, the national contract coal price in 2011 will have a larger increase this year, which is expected to be around 11%.
First of all, coal prices in the domestic market this year have increased significantly compared to the same period of last year, with an average increase of more than 10%, and domestic coal prices continue to rise in the fourth quarter of this year. The rise in market thermal coal prices is The increase in contract coal prices laid the foundation for negotiations. Secondly, in the first half of this year, the coal prices in the domestic market have risen. Some coal companies have already raised their contracted coal prices this year. Later, at the request of the relevant state departments, they have adjusted back to the prices determined earlier this year, which may prompt domestic coal prices. The company increased the contract price of 2011 coal prices.
The power company hopes to control within 5% of the coal and coal companies' opinions on coal prices. The long-term inconsistency between the two sides, the research adviser of China Investment Co., Ltd. Zhang Xiaolin said that compared with coal companies, power companies hope to minimize the increase in contract coal prices in 2011.
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