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——Speech at the 6th Member Congress of China Machine Tool Industry Association Wu Bolin Executive Vice President of China Machine Tool Industry Association Thanks to your love and trust, we entrusted us to preside over the daily work of the 6th Council of China Machine Tool Industry Association. We feel that the burden is not light and the responsibility is great. Here, on behalf of the leadership of the permanent establishment, I would like to express my heartfelt gratitude to the relevant ministries and other leaders of the relevant countries for the support and assistance of the machine tool industry. I would like to express my sincere gratitude to all relevant ministries and commissions and relevant leaders and leaders who have provided guidance and assistance for the preparations for this conference! Warm congratulations to the newly elected directors and executive directors, the newly elected chairman, deputy director, secretary general and deputy secretary-general! I would like to express my heartfelt gratitude to the leaders of enterprises and enterprises who have supported and helped the work of the Machine Tool Association for a long time!
Taking this opportunity, I would like to talk about three aspects.
1 The current situation of the machine tool industry caused by the financial crisis caused by the US subprime mortgage crisis, has formed a financial crisis and economic crisis, has a serious impact on the real economy, developed countries are in recession, economic growth in emerging countries and other developing countries is slowing, the global economy Facing a downturn. In this situation, China's machine tool industry is also facing severe challenges.
According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to May 2009, 5,813 machines and tools of the above-scale machine tools industry completed a total industrial output value of 133.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, an increase of 29.3 percentage points over the same period in 2008. However, the gross industrial output value of the small-cutting machine industry in January-May was down 2.1% year-on-year. The total profit of the whole industry continued to grow negatively for many months, and the import and export volume showed a double decline, and the decline in exports was serious.
China Machine Tool Industry Association's key links with 177 companies: from January to May, the total industrial output value was 30.7 billion, down 5% year-on-year; product sales revenue was 29.07 billion, down 6.2% year-on-year; profit was 1.37 billion, down 33.1% year-on-year. .
The situation of 114 enterprises that conducted industry research in May-June 2009: The total industrial output value in January-April decreased by 6.3% year-on-year; the sales revenue of products decreased by 11.9% year-on-year, and the total profit decreased by 45.9%. These 114 companies participating in the survey, after the sharp decline in various indicators in the fourth quarter of 2008, have stabilized since January 2009 and have improved month by month, but there has been a slight decline in May and June. From the graphical point of view, the first five months are basically flat, so as far as the current situation is concerned, it should be said that it is stable.
Overall, the market structure of machine tools has changed a lot. At present, the domestic high-end machine tool orders have recovered, but the ordinary machine tool market is still in a downturn. Although the inventory has decreased, it is still not easy to say that the machine tool market has stabilized and rebounded. From the statistical data of key enterprises, it can only be said that the market will stabilize. The industry situation is still grim, and the impact of various uncertainties on the machine tool industry still exists. 2009 may be the most difficult year for the development of China's machine tool industry, and it is also the most crucial year for the development of the financial crisis and the post-financial crisis.
Through recent industry research, we found that the impact of “crisis†on machine tool industry enterprises varies according to the company's product conditions, the company's technology development capabilities, and the company's competitiveness. Some enterprises have strong technological innovation capabilities, a good corporate foundation, and a relatively high starting point for product technology. Some companies with heavy-duty machine tools have better market and the impact is naturally small. Some of them have not risen in sales. There are two reasons for this. Subjectively, the results of product structure adjustment and scientific and technological progress in previous years are objectively the existence of market demand. Such enterprises account for about 30% of research companies. However, there are a large number of enterprises, accounting for about 60% of the research enterprises. The products involved are high, medium and low, and the product specifications are large, medium and small. As the demand for ordinary and medium- and low-end machine tools has dropped significantly, the economic indicators of these enterprises in the first five months of the year and the overall year-on-year decline in 2008 have different declines, but they can still maintain their operations. There are also some enterprises, the original starting point is not high, the previous years of technology development, product innovation is not enough; low-end products with large capacity, high-end products are seriously inadequate, the current operating conditions are difficult, some of them are even in a semi-discontinued state. These companies account for about 10% of the total number of companies surveyed.
2 Challenges, opportunities and tasks facing the machine tool industry
2.1 Challenges The current situation has both challenges and opportunities. The challenge is mainly from market changes, total volume reduction, and structural changes. After eight consecutive years, China's machine tool industry has developed at a high rate of 20%-30% per year. Now suddenly the market demand has decreased. At the same time, the product demand structure has also changed, and the competition has become more intense. To adapt to this change, the difficulty is self-evident.
In the face of shrinking global markets, international counterparts have concentrated their competition on the Chinese market, causing more intense competition in the Chinese machine tool market. According to statistics from the American Machine Tool Distributors Association (AMTDA) and the American Manufacturing Technology Association (AMT), in January 2009, US machine tool consumption was US$94.95 million, a decrease of 59.2% from the previous month and a decrease of 71.9% from the same period last year. Figures from the Japan Machine Tool Industry Association show a year-on-year decline of 84% in February 2009. The German Machine Tool Manufacturers Association (VDW) annual meeting released on February 26th that the capacity utilization rate in January 2009 has dropped significantly, only 83%. The losses suffered by ordinary and standard machine tool manufacturers are particularly severe. According to the German "Business Daily" reported on February 27, the German Machine Tool Manufacturers Association (VDW) chairman Welcker estimated that the industry's production shrinkage will exceed 15%. This estimate shows that the situation will further deteriorate. In Germany, the number of orders in the fourth quarter of 2008 decreased by 54% year-on-year. The most affected are the standard machine tools used in the automotive industry. The number of employed people in the German machine tool industry has decreased from 73,400 in October 2008 to approximately 67,000. The Machine Tool Association has just visited several countries in Eastern Europe in June, and the situation is very serious.
China's Taiwan machine tool export statistics show that in January-February 2009, the total export value of machine tools was 281 million US dollars, down 47.8% year-on-year. Taiwan's machine tool industry, which is dominated by exports, is in deep trouble.
The adverse effects of the crisis on Chinese machine tool enterprises are mainly reflected in the sharp shrinkage of the middle and low-end products market; the high-speed growth of many years has caused the overcapacity of the middle and low-end products, resulting in the decline in the quality of operation of some enterprises, and the sharp increase in the efficiency; some enterprises have problems with liquidity. As the largest machine tool market in the world, China has attracted global attention and attracted widespread attention in the world. The world's machine tool manufacturing giants have exerted their efforts in the Chinese market, resulting in more intense competition. The depreciation of foreign currencies relative to the renminbi is also conducive to foreign manufacturers to cut prices and Chinese companies to grab the market.
2.2 Opportunities The industrial base of the high-speed development of the machine tool industry for many years, the huge domestic market demand potential, and the country's emphasis on the machine tool industry are all favorable factors for industrial development. The progress of China's machine tools has overcome the financial crisis and laid a good foundation for future development. It has increased confidence in the arrival of the post-financial crisis era.
After 8 years of rapid development, the machine tool industry has increased its total output value from 53.9 billion yuan in 2000 to 347.2 billion yuan in 2008, with an average annual growth rate of over 26%. The domestic market share of domestic machine tools increased from less than 40% in 2000 to 61% in 2008. In 2008, the total consumption of machine tools in the domestic market was 19.44 billion US dollars. China has become the world's third largest machine tool producer in terms of scale and output value for four consecutive years. It has become the world's largest importer of machine tools and the world's largest machine tool consumer in seven consecutive years. After several years of development, we have not only expanded the scale, but also optimized the industrial structure and product structure of the machine tool industry. The strength of scientific and technological innovation has also been significantly improved. The mid-range CNC machine tools and varieties have been basically complete, and high-end products have also made significant breakthroughs. Two of them have entered the top 10 in the world, international and domestic mergers and acquisitions are active, industry concentration has increased, and growth patterns have begun to change. Since the second half of 2008, the market has contracted and demand structure has changed, but medium and high-end and heavy-duty machine tools have also changed. Maintaining a good market situation, it still maintains an increase of about 18% throughout the year; the annual output of CNC metal cutting machine tools has increased from 14,000 units in 2000 to 122,000 units in 2008, with an average annual growth rate of 30%. The imported machine tools have been declining year by year, and Taiwanese companies generally feel that the pressure is increasing. This fully shows that the influence of structural adjustment and innovation capability in the machine tool industry in the past few years is gradually emerging. China's machine tool industry has a certain industrial scale and development foundation. We must have confidence to overcome the financial crisis, and rely on the support of the government to implement relevant policies as soon as possible and improve our ability to innovate independently.
The development of the machine tool industry has been highly valued by the state leaders in recent years, and many of the policy measures introduced involve the machine tool industry. In response to the world economic and financial crisis and resisting the adverse impact of the international economic environment on China, the Chinese government has adopted a flexible and prudent macroeconomic policy in a timely manner. Currently, it implements a proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy to expand domestic demand and stimulate the domestic economy. increase. The ten measures determined by the Chinese government to expand domestic demand and promote economic growth, especially the ten major industry adjustment and revitalization plans issued by the State Council, have provided an unprecedented market demand opportunity for the strategic adjustment and industrial upgrading of the machine tool industry. These are direct and indirect policy positive factors for the machine tool industry.
Opportunities for the use of international resources: First, the world economic growth has slowed down markedly, causing the international energy resources and asset prices to fall, which has brought favorable conditions for China to develop and utilize overseas energy resources and improve scientific and technological strength. Second, the financial crisis has been given to several developed countries. It has brought tremendous pressure and put forward new requirements for reforming the traditional international financial system. It provides a favorable opportunity for China to strengthen international cooperation and seek more national interests. Third, the financial crisis has made the foreign machine tool industry suffer more impacts and encountered more difficulties. The market environment it faces is more severe than ours. In short, the adjustment of the world economy and China's economic structure has brought new opportunities for China's machine tool industry to accelerate structural upgrading and introduce advanced foreign technology and talents.
The crisis fosters new markets, and the crisis will accelerate institutional innovation and technological change. Changes in market demand require us to respond positively. For the machine tool industry, improving the ability of scientific and technological innovation and adjusting the industrial structure and product structure are the top priorities of the current work. The machine tool industry must carefully summarize the experience and lessons of past industry development. The elites of the machine tool industry must face the crisis, make accurate judgments on the current economic situation, respond positively, and deeply consider the future development mode and growth model of the company.
2.3 Tasks In the face of crisis, we must objectively analyze and respond positively. It is necessary to see the unfavorable side, but also to see the favorable side, and actively carry out structural adjustment according to changes in market demand. Seriously implement the three-year adjustment and revitalization plan. From the current production scale and technical level of the machine tool industry, China's machine tool industry is still big but not strong. This crisis has made us more clearly see the structural contradictions accumulated by the rapid development of the machine tool industry in recent years. On the one hand, the overcapacity of medium and low-end machine tools, on the other hand, the shortage of high-end product development and manufacturing capabilities. To this end, we should conscientiously implement the three-year adjustment and revitalization plan for the equipment manufacturing industry, and realize the three-year revitalization goal of the machine tool industry in combination with the development status of the machine tool industry at the 3·11 Nanjing Conference (the fifth session of the Standing Committee). (2009-2011), to promote the transformation of the machine tool industry from large to strong, the whole industry should strive to do the following key tasks:
(1) Improve the ability of independent innovation and accelerate the adjustment of product structure. The demand after the crisis is definitely different from that before the crisis. It is necessary to work harder to improve the ability of scientific and technological innovation and accelerate the development of high-end products, thereby accelerating the adjustment of product structure and changing the situation of big but not strong. We must increase our efforts and speed up.
(2) Adjusting the industrial structure Actively adjust the industrial structure, further transform the growth mode, encourage joint restructuring between industries, and achieve a transformation from large to strong. Change the development of the machine tool industry, weak core components, heavy mainframes and light functional components, and encourage the development of a number of "specialized, sophisticated, special" enterprises.
(3) Technical transformation Encourage and support machine tool enterprises to strengthen investment in technological transformation, change the overcapacity of medium and low-end machine tools, and seriously reduce the production capacity of high-end machine tools, improve the manufacturing process equipment level of the machine tool industry, and improve the production organization. To face the current needs, we must focus on the needs of the post-crisis era.
(4) Exploring the market In terms of market development, it is necessary to actively develop and manufacture new products to meet the needs of domestic high-end markets, replace imports, and achieve major technological equipment autonomy. Encourage enterprises to jointly explore the international market, stabilize the export of machine tool products, and improve the technical content, added value and complete sets of export products.
3 Association Work 3.1 Industry Work Assisting the government, service companies, and machine tool associations will conscientiously implement the three-year adjustment and revitalization plan for the equipment manufacturing industry. In order to achieve the three-year adjustment and revitalization goal of the machine tool industry, the association will focus on the following tasks in the future:
(1) Assisting the government and enterprises to implement the work of stimulating domestic demand and opening up the market. Ensuring domestic demand effectively stimulating the development of domestic CNC machine tools is the top priority of revitalization measures. It is necessary to play a policy guiding role in stimulating the internal needs of machine tools, and to promote national investment projects to create a good market environment for the Chinese machine tool industry. To this end, it is necessary to assist the government to revise and formulate tariff policies for imported equipment, strengthen the review of imported products, and ensure the priority of domestically produced equipment. At the same time, efforts have been made to adjust the export product policy and strive to increase the competitiveness of export machine tool products in the international market.
(2) Assisting the government to help enterprises do a good job in technological transformation in the new era Premier Wen Jiabao repeatedly pointed out that machine tools are the working machine of equipment manufacturing industry, and the modernization of equipment manufacturing industry depends on the development level of machine tools in China. It is constantly calling for priority in the promotion of machine tool industry revitalization and technological transformation in the new central investment. The association will work hard to assist the government, help enterprises to do technological transformation in the new era, and continuously enhance the core competitiveness of enterprises and industries.
(3) Assisting the government and helping enterprises to do a good job in industrial restructuring (4) Combining the research of the project and proposing an industrial policy that is beneficial to the industry's good and fast development, assisting the government to do a good job in the industry's investigation and research on the premise of implementing the pre-industrial policy. Timely discover the difficulties and hot issues in the industry, and propose industrial policy recommendations for the next step in promoting industrial development in terms of technological innovation, product development, technological transformation, corporate management, overseas mergers and acquisitions, taxation policies, and import and export.
(5) Strengthen investigation and research, improve the quality of statistical and operational analysis, improve the quality of media publicity, strengthen research and research on domestic and international industries, track domestic industry operations and user dynamics in a timely manner, and track the dynamics of international enterprises and industries, especially industry technology and product development. New developments at home and abroad. Do a good job in industry statistics, timely reflect and analyze the economic operation of the industry, improve the quality of statistical and operational analysis, and provide assistance for government and enterprise decision-making. We will do a good job in one network, one newspaper, one magazine, and effectively serve the government, serve the industry, enterprises, and serve users, and improve the social influence of the media.
(6) Build a good trading platform and run CIMT and CCMT exhibitions In addition, the machine tool association will also assist the government in implementing the major science and technology projects, safety production upgrading projects, international exchanges and cooperation.
3.2 Construction of the association itself (1) Strengthening the construction of the club;
(2) Strengthening system construction;
(3) Strengthen the construction of talent teams, introduce high-quality talents, and improve the quality and efficiency of work.
Above, on behalf of the permanent establishment, I have put forward some ideas on the current situation of the machine tool industry, tasks, and the work of the association. I would like to discuss with you and hope that you will provide valuable comments and suggestions. Although we have encountered the current crisis and have had a certain impact on the machine tool industry, objective and calm analysis is also a good thing for the machine tool industry. Let us further understand the direction of the industry development, see the problems we have, and deepen our understanding. The understanding of the law of the development of the machine tool industry. Not long ago, Premier Wen Jiabao spoke on the equipment manufacturing industry at the provincial and ministerial level cadre study and practice scientific development concept. He said: "The level of equipment manufacturing industry is an important indicator of the degree of industrialization of a country. China wants to become the world. At the manufacturing center, there must be a strong equipment manufacturing industry. At present, the development of the equipment manufacturing industry lags behind, the reliability of products is poor, and the problem of weak set capacity is very prominent. It is necessary to change this situation as soon as possible, and improve the design and development capabilities, manufacturing capabilities and integration of major equipment. Ability to develop equipment for major complete sets of equipment, high-tech equipment and high-tech industrialization, and promote the green, informational and localization of the equipment manufacturing industry.†The speech once again confirmed the important position of our industry and also proposed to us. Higher hopes and requirements. I believe that the new council will unite the majority of member units, rely on machine tool industry enterprises, and with the care and support of relevant departments and leaders at all levels, earnestly implement the three-year revitalization plan and serve as a good assistant to the government. Be a good job for the company, unite the whole industry, forge ahead, overcome difficulties, and promote the sound and rapid development of the machine tool industry.
thank you all!
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