The National Development and Reform Commission canceled the coal order fair for two consecutive years, letting coal-fired power companies freely dock, but for enterprises that have already started to dock this year, this is certainly not a free market.
The newspaper was informed that the 2011 National Coal Supply and Demand Contract Summary Meeting (renamed Coal Ordering Conference, hereinafter referred to as the Coal Contract Summary Meeting) originally scheduled to be held in Dalian on the 12th of this month was not held as scheduled. Jing Jingwen, senior consultant of Dalian Northeast Asia Coal Trading Center, said that so far, the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association has not agreed.
The Coal Transportation and Marketing Association is responsible for summarizing the annual Chinese coal supply and demand contracts. According to the National Development and Reform Commission, the total amount of coal contracts in China in 2011 was 932 million tons, of which the total amount of key coal was 769 million tons, which should be completed by December 31 this year.
But so far, the key coal contracts that the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association has gathered are still "rarely poor." People from the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association told this newspaper that "it is impossible to open it. At the moment, it seems that there is no need to open it."
This is the second time the country has allowed the company to freely dock in the case of canceling the coal contract summary meeting. However, the premise of laissez-faire is a paper price limit order. At the same time, local governments began to plan their own, giving priority to provincial supply and limiting the province. The supply and demand relationship of coal resources, which was originally unevenly distributed, is becoming more tense.
Cancel behind
The notice issued by the National Development and Reform Commission not long ago stated that “the guiding supply and demand enterprises will extend the contract for key thermal coal with a single quantity of more than 300,000 tons (including 300,000 tons) in 2010 to 2011, and the railway capacity allocation will remain unchanged in the previous year. ". At the same time, the “Limit Order Order†was issued. “In 2011, the price of the key thermal coal contract will remain unchanged in the previous year, and the price of the key coal price will not change in any form.â€
This provision allowed coal companies to see the government’s hopes of letting go again.
A person from the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association said that the National Development and Reform Commission directly restricted the practice of key contract coal prices next year, although it was based on the prevention of inflation, but it was inconsistent with last year's spirit.
At the end of 2009, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a special document "Guiding Opinions on Improving the Needs for the Connection of Coal Production and Transportation", which was considered by the market to be an improvement. The government finally began to liberalize the intervention in the annual coal-fired top cattle. Sure enough, in 2010, as the first year of the clear cancellation of the contract, only the total index of the key contract framework was determined to be 906.5 million tons, including 721.6 billion tons of coal. The summary function of the national key coal was taken over by an electronic platform established by the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association. The two sides of the coal and coal only need to fill in the data on the number of contracts and the status of capacity implementation.
However, the subsequent market did not give the National Development and Reform Commission too much face. The contract summary time of the year was not only greatly delayed, but the summary indicators displayed on the electronic platform were eventually found to have some data not actually signed. In July 2010, with the sharp increase in market prices, some coal companies in Yitai and Shanxi in Inner Mongolia even appeared to raise the price of key contracts at the beginning of the year. Since then, these companies have been investigated by the National Development and Reform Commission and have been asked to refund the overcharged price.
Next year's coal contract will continue to use electronic trading platforms, but in terms of market, the data binding on the electronic platform is very poor. Therefore, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in the Connection of Coal Production and Transportation in 2011", which not only stipulates that the coal contract price will remain unchanged, and that the railway capacity allocation will also "maintain the same level of the previous year."
In the view of coal companies, the above regulations mean that the major contracts of key state-owned enterprises such as the five major power generation groups, Shenhua and China Coal will not need to be discussed again next year. Regardless of the contract quantity or price, they are basically consistent with the ones signed in 2009. can.
Jiangsu Ruihua Fuel Group has been supplying thermal coal and metallurgical coal for the Yangtze River Delta for a long time. The coal is mainly from China Coal, Shenhua and Shanxi and Inner Mongolia. Zhang Kai, the group's vice president, visited the major coal companies that have been working together for the past few months. For the price and quantity in 2011, he said that both sides are very clear and relatively stable.
Local intervention
The impact on coal contract aggregation will appear to be weakening, while local governments are growing.
On December 6, Henan Coal Supply and Demand Connection Conference proposed that the key thermal coal contract price in 2011 will remain at the 2010 level, and the transaction contract price will be executed at the market transaction price on November 22 this year. A coal miner who participated in the meeting said, "In this way, the key coal-fired 5,000-kilogram card is equivalent to 550 yuan." For power plants, this price is obviously high.
The above-mentioned person said that Henan set such a high price, which is conducive to the transfer of more coal from outside the province, and at the same time help to ensure the enthusiasm of the coal enterprises in the province. Henan is one of the provinces with tight supply and demand of coal. The annual output of coal in the province is about 200 million tons, but the province's consumption is nearly 400 million tons. Nearly half of the gap needs to be transferred from other provinces.
At the coal supply and demand convergence meeting, the Henan provincial government also made it clear that except for individual key customers in Hunan and other places, coal in the province will not be allowed to go out. In fact, shortly after the meeting, the province's power plant coal storage began to rush, 17 power plants less than three days of coal storage, the province's electricity coal inventory is only 2.56 million tons, far below the warning line of 3.5 million tons of the lowest thermal coal inventory in winter.
“Limiting coal out of the province†has become a common practice in all parts of the world. It is reported that the relevant departments of Shanxi Province in the major coal provinces have also made clear that the coal resources in the province will be uniformly organized and negotiated to ensure that coal mines are strictly prohibited from leaving the province.
Before Henan, Guizhou also held a provincial coal connection meeting. Immediately afterwards, Shaanxi Province also held a meeting on coal bridging preparations in the province. It has been clarified that during the coal convergence period in 2011, coal in the province will not be shipped out, giving priority to provincial demand.
In addition, in the signing of the 2011 coal contract, the five major groups will no longer concentrate on negotiating and signing contracts in the name of the group, but the subordinate local power plants will sign themselves because “this is in response to the strength of coal provinces and large enterprises. , will be more flexible."
Zhang Shengji, deputy director of the fuel department of Guodian Group, said that the outstanding problem of power plants is that there are too few key plans and the contract fulfillment rate is too low. The power plants still do not adapt to the changes in coal supply structure and market requirements, and the main supply channels have not yet been established.
Coal companies expect that due to the "limit order" and the stability of most power plant stocks, the market coal price will not rise as the habit of the coal ordering season as in previous years. The coal prices in the northern ports such as Qinhuangdao remain stable, even Slightly decreased.
But this does not mean that there will be no risk in the key contract. A person from the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association said, "We only manage the number of contracts, regardless of the price. The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Railways only want the results of the platform summary, and then arrange the capacity, but as to whether the platform can represent the real contract signed by the company, the price is not attached. Conditions, these are not what we can do. As for the price issue, it is the price department."
According to the practice in previous years, once the market coal price has risen sharply, the key contracts signed by the two parties will be lost, and the contract fulfillment rate will be greatly reduced. The market will still test the price limit order of the National Development and Reform Commission, and will once again test the true and false components of more than 900 million tons of key contract coals determined by an electronic trading platform.
The newspaper was informed that the 2011 National Coal Supply and Demand Contract Summary Meeting (renamed Coal Ordering Conference, hereinafter referred to as the Coal Contract Summary Meeting) originally scheduled to be held in Dalian on the 12th of this month was not held as scheduled. Jing Jingwen, senior consultant of Dalian Northeast Asia Coal Trading Center, said that so far, the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association has not agreed.
The Coal Transportation and Marketing Association is responsible for summarizing the annual Chinese coal supply and demand contracts. According to the National Development and Reform Commission, the total amount of coal contracts in China in 2011 was 932 million tons, of which the total amount of key coal was 769 million tons, which should be completed by December 31 this year.
But so far, the key coal contracts that the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association has gathered are still "rarely poor." People from the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association told this newspaper that "it is impossible to open it. At the moment, it seems that there is no need to open it."
This is the second time the country has allowed the company to freely dock in the case of canceling the coal contract summary meeting. However, the premise of laissez-faire is a paper price limit order. At the same time, local governments began to plan their own, giving priority to provincial supply and limiting the province. The supply and demand relationship of coal resources, which was originally unevenly distributed, is becoming more tense.
Cancel behind
The notice issued by the National Development and Reform Commission not long ago stated that “the guiding supply and demand enterprises will extend the contract for key thermal coal with a single quantity of more than 300,000 tons (including 300,000 tons) in 2010 to 2011, and the railway capacity allocation will remain unchanged in the previous year. ". At the same time, the “Limit Order Order†was issued. “In 2011, the price of the key thermal coal contract will remain unchanged in the previous year, and the price of the key coal price will not change in any form.â€
This provision allowed coal companies to see the government’s hopes of letting go again.
A person from the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association said that the National Development and Reform Commission directly restricted the practice of key contract coal prices next year, although it was based on the prevention of inflation, but it was inconsistent with last year's spirit.
At the end of 2009, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a special document "Guiding Opinions on Improving the Needs for the Connection of Coal Production and Transportation", which was considered by the market to be an improvement. The government finally began to liberalize the intervention in the annual coal-fired top cattle. Sure enough, in 2010, as the first year of the clear cancellation of the contract, only the total index of the key contract framework was determined to be 906.5 million tons, including 721.6 billion tons of coal. The summary function of the national key coal was taken over by an electronic platform established by the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association. The two sides of the coal and coal only need to fill in the data on the number of contracts and the status of capacity implementation.
However, the subsequent market did not give the National Development and Reform Commission too much face. The contract summary time of the year was not only greatly delayed, but the summary indicators displayed on the electronic platform were eventually found to have some data not actually signed. In July 2010, with the sharp increase in market prices, some coal companies in Yitai and Shanxi in Inner Mongolia even appeared to raise the price of key contracts at the beginning of the year. Since then, these companies have been investigated by the National Development and Reform Commission and have been asked to refund the overcharged price.
Next year's coal contract will continue to use electronic trading platforms, but in terms of market, the data binding on the electronic platform is very poor. Therefore, the National Development and Reform Commission issued the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in the Connection of Coal Production and Transportation in 2011", which not only stipulates that the coal contract price will remain unchanged, and that the railway capacity allocation will also "maintain the same level of the previous year."
In the view of coal companies, the above regulations mean that the major contracts of key state-owned enterprises such as the five major power generation groups, Shenhua and China Coal will not need to be discussed again next year. Regardless of the contract quantity or price, they are basically consistent with the ones signed in 2009. can.
Jiangsu Ruihua Fuel Group has been supplying thermal coal and metallurgical coal for the Yangtze River Delta for a long time. The coal is mainly from China Coal, Shenhua and Shanxi and Inner Mongolia. Zhang Kai, the group's vice president, visited the major coal companies that have been working together for the past few months. For the price and quantity in 2011, he said that both sides are very clear and relatively stable.
Local intervention
The impact on coal contract aggregation will appear to be weakening, while local governments are growing.
On December 6, Henan Coal Supply and Demand Connection Conference proposed that the key thermal coal contract price in 2011 will remain at the 2010 level, and the transaction contract price will be executed at the market transaction price on November 22 this year. A coal miner who participated in the meeting said, "In this way, the key coal-fired 5,000-kilogram card is equivalent to 550 yuan." For power plants, this price is obviously high.
The above-mentioned person said that Henan set such a high price, which is conducive to the transfer of more coal from outside the province, and at the same time help to ensure the enthusiasm of the coal enterprises in the province. Henan is one of the provinces with tight supply and demand of coal. The annual output of coal in the province is about 200 million tons, but the province's consumption is nearly 400 million tons. Nearly half of the gap needs to be transferred from other provinces.
At the coal supply and demand convergence meeting, the Henan provincial government also made it clear that except for individual key customers in Hunan and other places, coal in the province will not be allowed to go out. In fact, shortly after the meeting, the province's power plant coal storage began to rush, 17 power plants less than three days of coal storage, the province's electricity coal inventory is only 2.56 million tons, far below the warning line of 3.5 million tons of the lowest thermal coal inventory in winter.
“Limiting coal out of the province†has become a common practice in all parts of the world. It is reported that the relevant departments of Shanxi Province in the major coal provinces have also made clear that the coal resources in the province will be uniformly organized and negotiated to ensure that coal mines are strictly prohibited from leaving the province.
Before Henan, Guizhou also held a provincial coal connection meeting. Immediately afterwards, Shaanxi Province also held a meeting on coal bridging preparations in the province. It has been clarified that during the coal convergence period in 2011, coal in the province will not be shipped out, giving priority to provincial demand.
In addition, in the signing of the 2011 coal contract, the five major groups will no longer concentrate on negotiating and signing contracts in the name of the group, but the subordinate local power plants will sign themselves because “this is in response to the strength of coal provinces and large enterprises. , will be more flexible."
Zhang Shengji, deputy director of the fuel department of Guodian Group, said that the outstanding problem of power plants is that there are too few key plans and the contract fulfillment rate is too low. The power plants still do not adapt to the changes in coal supply structure and market requirements, and the main supply channels have not yet been established.
Coal companies expect that due to the "limit order" and the stability of most power plant stocks, the market coal price will not rise as the habit of the coal ordering season as in previous years. The coal prices in the northern ports such as Qinhuangdao remain stable, even Slightly decreased.
But this does not mean that there will be no risk in the key contract. A person from the Coal Transportation and Marketing Association said, "We only manage the number of contracts, regardless of the price. The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Railways only want the results of the platform summary, and then arrange the capacity, but as to whether the platform can represent the real contract signed by the company, the price is not attached. Conditions, these are not what we can do. As for the price issue, it is the price department."
According to the practice in previous years, once the market coal price has risen sharply, the key contracts signed by the two parties will be lost, and the contract fulfillment rate will be greatly reduced. The market will still test the price limit order of the National Development and Reform Commission, and will once again test the true and false components of more than 900 million tons of key contract coals determined by an electronic trading platform.
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